广东省现代物流业的波及效果分析

通过广东省2000年的6部门投入产出表，计算出各部门的直接前向关联指数和直接后的关联指数，直接消耗系数表，列昂惕夫逆阵，生产诱发系数表，影响力和感应度系数表，最后从各方面分析了广东省物流业与其他产业的关联关系。     

价格对时间敏感时的供应链响应时间决策研究

以一个两阶段的供应链系统为背景,研究了价格对时间敏感时的MTO供应链的响应时间决策问题。分别分析了两种补偿成本结构下的供应链收益函数,进行了优化求解。决策模型在一个汽车行业定制供应链得到了实际应用。该研究为供应链企业基于时间竞争提供了有效的决策工具。     

Effective Repair in Survey Interviews

In standardized survey interviews with closed-ended questions it quite often occurs that respondents do something else than mentioning their choice from the set of response categories presented together with the question. In these cases their initial response is inadequate and interviewers have to initiate repair activities. By analyzing 804 question–answer sequences, stemming from parts of a survey with elderly people (N=201), we found that 322 (41%) of the initial responses were inadequate. In 74% of these 332 sequences the interviewers made an attempt at repair. Of all repair attempts, 75% were performed correctly, that is, in a nondirective way. Most of the repair attempts (86%) result in an adequate final response of the respondent. The result of the repair activities by the interviewers is that the number of sequences with an adequate response increased from 472 to 688, thus an increase of about 45%. There does not exist ‘one best way’ of repairing. The most important thing is that some repair initiative has to be taken by the interviewer and that the repair is done in a nondirective way.     

军事供应链响应时间结构模型研究

根据军事供应链起点时间的一种观点，运用环节分析的方法，建立军事供应链的响应时间结构模型，并分析了响应时间各个环节的工作。     

变化世界中的地理学

在全球变化的背景下,地理学研究的方向和中学地理教育思想及内容都会发生巨大的变化。文章首先简单地叙述了全球变化的基本情况,以及全球变化的区域响应。然后重点论述了全球变化的局部响应在现代地理学研究中的重要地位,以及中学地理教育的新内容——可持续发展教育与生态道德教育。     

Regular Quantal Response Equilibrium

The structural Quantal Response Equilibrium (QRE) generalizes the Nash equilibrium by augmenting payoffs with random elements that are not removed in some limit. This approach has been widely used both as a theoretical framework to study comparative statics of games and as an econometric framework to analyze experimental and field data. The framework of structural QRE is flexible: it can be applied to arbitrary finite games and incorporate very general error structures. Restrictions on the error structure are needed, however, to place testable restrictions on the data (Haile et al., 2004). This paper proposes a reduced-form approach, based on quantal response functions that replace the best-response functions underlying the Nash equilibrium. We define a regular QRE as a fixed point of quantal response functions that satisfies four axioms: continuity, interiority, responsiveness, and monotonicity. We show that these conditions are not vacuous and demonstrate with an example that they imply economically sensible restrictions on data consistent with laboratory observations. The reduced-form approach allows for a richer set of regular quantal response functions, which has proven useful for estimation purposes. JEL Classification: D62, C73     

灾害应急中的国防资源动员研究

对灾害应急中国防资源动员的可行性、国防资源动员的规模等问题进行了理论探讨，提出了一种基于熵权技术的灾害评估、多级模糊综合评判模型，研究了在不同级别1与不同类型灾害的应对中国防资源动员的规模问题。     

东北地区净第一性生产力对气候变暖的响应研究

净第一件生产力是标志一个地区绿色植物生产力水平的上限和衡量土地承载力的重要指标。本文根据Miami模型对东北地区净第一性生产力进行估算，并结合GCMS模式提供的气候情景（Climatescenario）探讨东北地区净第一性生产力对气候变暖的响应。     

基于农户视角的农业风险管理策略研究

市场经济在促进中国农村经济快速发展的同时也加剧了农业风险,自然风险和市场风险困扰着农业经济的发展.文章分析了农户的风险管理原则和策略,剖析了农户对政府提供的政策性农业保险等风险管理工具的行为反应模式.研究表明,政府的风险管理策略要有农户的良性互动才能产生预期的政策效果,否则会事与愿违.其基本结论为,政府不仅要了解缺乏正规制度安排时农户的策略行为,还要考虑农户对政府的风险管理策略的认可和接受程度.政府的风险管理应建立在不同农户的内在需求上,把供给驱动型的风险管理策略转变为需求导向型的风险管理策略.